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03.10.2025 05:24 AM
2025年10月3日美元/日元匯率預測

今天公布的日本勞動力數據顯示,8月份的失業率從2.3%上升至2.6%(預測值為2.4%)。據市場參與者稱,這樣的數據將放慢日本央行的貨幣緊縮步伐。考慮到日元已經在146.29-149.38範圍內持續了2.5個月,正是預期緊縮信號,若出現放鬆信號,該貨幣對可能會突破向上。

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從日線圖上看,我們發現區間的上界149.38即將與MACD線對齊,因此它們的重疊可能會引發另一波強勁的價格上漲,繼續上升趨勢。目標在151.70–152.10區間。Marlin振盪器接近進入正區間。今天或週一可以預期出現初始的上漲動作。

若跌破支撐146.29,將開啟備選的看跌情景,目標指向144.33。如果這種情況發生,可能意味著新的全球擔憂已經出現。

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在 H4 圖表上,Marlin 振盪器也接近轉為正值。第一個阻力位於 MACD 線附近的 148.07。如果突破該位置,將為測試 149.38 鋪平道路。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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