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13.06.2025 12:53 PM
AUD/JPY:分析與預測
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AUD/JPY貨幣對連續第三天受到拋售壓力,在週五亞洲交易時段達到接近兩週低點,約為92.30。在大幅下跌之後,即期匯率反彈至93.00的心理水平以上,但日間跌幅仍超過0.80%。

由於中東局勢升級,包括以色列對伊朗的先發制人攻擊,以及美國擴大的貿易壁壘,投資者變得更加謹慎,偏好避險資產。

這一轉變加強了日圓這一傳統避險貨幣的吸引力,同時減少了對澳元這類風險較高貨幣的需求。因此,對日圓的需求增長,而澳元需求減弱,這繼續壓低AUD/JPY匯率。

影響AUD/JPY貨幣對的另一個因素是市場預期日本央行將繼續推進貨幣政策正常化的路徑,從而支持日圓的強勢。

上述基本面的背景顯示,即期價格的最小阻力路徑仍然向下,加強了從週三四週高點繼續回落的可能性。然而,日線圖上的振盪指標尚未轉為負值,表明拋售壓力尚未完全加劇,暗示賣家應保持謹慎。

附表顯示今天日圓對主要貨幣的百分比變化。值得注意的是,日圓對澳元的漲幅尤其顯著。

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Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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