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28.05.2025 09:33 AM
AUD/NZD. 分析與預測
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AUD/NZD貨幣對試圖在下跌過程中吸引買家,但迄今尚無足夠信心支持持續上升的走勢。新西蘭央行(RBNZ)發布貨幣政策決定後,日內上升動能有所減緩。

正如預期,在5月會議結束時,新西蘭央行將官方現金利率(OCR)下調25個基點,從3.50%降至3.25%。在該決定出台前,該行預測2025年9月的OCR為3.12%,2026年6月的OCR為2.87%,這加強了對進一步降息的預期。然而,新西蘭元仍對AUD/NZD組合施加壓力。

另一方面,澳元顯示出相對的強勢,受到月度國內消費者通脹數據小幅上升的支撐。這些數據降低了市場對澳洲儲備銀行(RBA)在7月會議上降息的預期,從而支持對AUD/NZD交叉盤的興趣,進一步推動短期上行的可能性。

從技術角度看,交易者在開倉方向性位置時應謹慎,因為日線圖上的振盪指標參差不齊,顯示未來24小時市場的不確定性。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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