The dollar was stuck near a 3-month low on expectations that the Fed could halt the monetary tightening cycle. The minutes of the Fed meeting on December 18-19 showed that a number of officials supported the need to keep rates at the current level this year. This weakened the dollar, as did the fact that investors began selling US currency amid growing optimism about the trade negotiations between the US and China.

This fall in the dollar can be called a delayed correction after an unexpectedly strong several weeks. At the same time, dollar stability can be partly explained by the fact that fears are growing over the global recession, which has led to an increase in the attractiveness of the dollar. However, after China and the United States continued trade negotiations, market sentiment began to improve. Offshore yuan reached its highest level since August, commodity currencies such as Canadian and Australian dollars show the highest rates of growth since the beginning of the year, which is also facilitated by the rebound in oil prices.

The Fed's recent warning is something that has never been said so explicitly, and the wage jump in the last month is a signal that the regulator is likely to be much less aggressive than it was last year.